From the data · story 2
In 2018 the Ministry of Health awarded 62.9 billion AMD without competition, 95.70 percent of its spend. In 2026 so far: 0.8 billion, 5.98 percent. A second pass over the 236,159 contracts in PPCM, Armenia's procurement registry, traces the non-competitive money to its new addresses and watches the supplier base grow 2.5 times.
The headline
The single-source money changed hands. The largest single-source buyer of 2024 to 2026 is now the Administration of the Council of Public Broadcaster with 22,908,930,783 AMD, then Yerevan Municipality (16,595,935,837 AMD), the Ministry of High-Tech Industry (13,102,736,176 AMD; its share jumped from 2.93 percent in 2024 to 68.16 percent in 2026), the Ministry of Health (12,468,608,603 AMD) and the Probation Service (11,741,474,959 AMD). The top 25 buyers hold 90.09 percent of the 192.3 billion AMD awarded single-source in 2024 to 2026; the top 5 hold 39.95 percent.
34 of 185 active buyers still ran mostly on single-source in 2026, measured as more than half their yearly spend: 42 buyers in 2018, 24 in 2024, 34 in 2026. Buyers that jumped in 2026: Ministry of Environment (13.97 percent in 2024 to 65.32), State Property Management Committee (0.36 to 76.54), Armaeronavigatsia CJSC (6.15 to 65.50), Ministry of High-Tech Industry (2.93 to 68.16).
The supplier base grew 2.54 times and its top thinned. 3,072 suppliers won at least one contract in 2018; 7,795 in 2024. The top 10 suppliers held 30.12 percent of contract value in 2018 and 17.24 percent in 2026. Every year since 2022, more than a third of winning suppliers are new to the registry; the 15 largest companies that entered since 2022 took 358.0 billion AMD, and 12 of the 15 have a single-source share of exactly zero.
The registry is splitting into many tiny contracts and a few huge ones. The median contract fell from 569,600 AMD in 2018 to 330,000 AMD in 2025. Contracts above 1 billion AMD went from 21 in 2018 (17.78 percent of value) to 243 in 2024 (59.48 percent of value).
The tables
| Buyer | 2024-26 AMD | 2018 | 2021 | 2024 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Council of Public Broadcaster | 22,908,930,783 | 55.00% | 99.91% | 92.23% | 93.27% |
| Yerevan Municipality | 16,595,935,837 | 8.54% | 0.14% | 9.08% | 13.50% |
| Ministry of High-Tech Industry | 13,102,736,176 | 1.73% | 15.19% | 2.93% | 68.16% |
| Ministry of Health | 12,468,608,603 | 95.70% | 28.90% | 31.22% | 5.98% |
| Probation Service | 11,741,474,959 | none | 100.00% | 35.18% | 99.64% |
| Ministry of Defense | 10,974,779,448 | 32.31% | 14.26% | 12.96% | 27.73% |
| Ministry of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure | 10,552,537,882 | 8.50% | 30.11% | 3.85% | 8.87% |
| Higher Education and Science Committee | 9,808,967,852 | 83.24% | 50.24% | 10.66% | 36.96% |
| Ministry of Environment | 9,123,280,126 | 64.82% | 7.32% | 13.97% | 65.32% |
| Urban Development Committee | 9,058,488,875 | 6.48% | 8.51% | 0.68% | 2.10% |
| Ministry of Internal Affairs | 9,027,994,873 | 50.07% | 14.75% | 30.82% | 14.80% |
| State Property Management Committee | 8,505,555,534 | 85.77% | 92.00% | 0.36% | 76.54% |
"none" means the buyer signed nothing that year. Ranks 13 to 25 and all 316 buyers year by year: 6-single-source-by-buyer-year.csv.
| Year | Active suppliers | Top 10 share of value | Top 100 share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3,072 | 30.12% | 65.75% |
| 2019 | 3,519 | 21.36% | 60.47% |
| 2020 | 3,775 | 24.87% | 67.39% |
| 2021 | 5,121 | 30.78% | 75.09% |
| 2022 | 6,385 | 21.34% | 62.32% |
| 2023 | 7,431 | 19.81% | 58.00% |
| 2024 | 7,795 | 27.03% | 68.03% |
| 2025 | 6,967 | 18.23% | 60.23% |
| 2026* | 5,286 | 17.24% | 61.90% |
* to 29 Aug. 2024 splits into 5,778 companies and 2,017 individual entrepreneurs. Half of each year's contract value went to 39 suppliers in 2018, 25 in 2021, 65 in 2023, 40 in 2024, 59 in 2026. Full table with top 50 shares: 7-supplier-concentration.csv.
| Cohort | New suppliers | Of which companies | Share of that year's active suppliers | Value won to date, AMD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2,573 | 1,831 | 40.30% | 474,920,895,885 |
| 2023 | 2,568 | 1,754 | 34.56% | 221,745,133,507 |
| 2024 | 2,917 | 1,630 | 37.42% | 243,782,938,630 |
| 2025 | 2,550 | 1,465 | 36.60% | 84,715,341,222 |
The 15 largest companies that entered since 2022 took 357,996,775,859 AMD, 34.92 percent of the four cohorts' lifetime value. Eco Building LLC, first seen 2022-05-08 with Yerevan Municipality, has 51 contracts worth 75.8 billion AMD from 5 buyers. One new entrant, Enigma Systemy Ochrony Informacji (Poland), won 13.0 billion AMD, 90.28 percent of it single-source. The 15, with first buyers and dates: 8-new-entrants.csv.
| Year | Median contract, AMD | Contracts above 1 bn AMD | Their share of value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 569,600 | 21 | 17.78% |
| 2019 | 563,599 | 32 | 22.87% |
| 2020 | 550,000 | 69 | 33.79% |
| 2021 | 319,805 | 63 | 45.67% |
| 2022 | 490,000 | 130 | 45.95% |
| 2023 | 480,677 | 109 | 35.66% |
| 2024 | 400,000 | 243 | 59.48% |
| 2025 | 330,000 | 174 | 44.40% |
| 2026* | 399,600 | 137 | 49.69% |
* to 29 Aug. Contracts under 1 million AMD were 59.17 percent of all contracts in 2018 and 67.58 percent in 2025, holding 1.06 and 0.70 percent of value. Percentiles and means: 9-contract-size.csv.
Method and caveats
Reproduce it
Four CSV tables, the run metadata and the one-file pipeline. node analyze2.mjs streams the weekly index and rebuilds every number on this page.
The first pass: single-source awards fell from 52.04 to 6.83 percent of contract value while staying near four in ten procedures by count, the Ministry of Health signed 486.7 billion AMD without competition, and 1,017 companies get over 90 percent of their public revenue from one buyer.